Dalibor Svrcina vs Leo Borg | Helsinki Round of 32

UMPIRY

HelsinkiR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00

Dalibor Svrcina(4)ATP #112 · CZE81%

VSStrong favourite · Svrcina D.

Leo BorgATP #599 · SWE19%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Svrcina D.

81%19%

Clear edge for Svrcina D. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Svrcina D.6.3/10

Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Borg L.5.5/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Svrcina D.

Long matches5 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Borg L.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 903

Hard ELO1 779

Last 107–3

Age24

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.5M2026 $475K

ELO1 625

Hard ELO1 594

Last 105–5

Age23

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $173K2026 $10K

Dalibor Svrcina faces Leo Borg in the Helsinki round of 32 on hard. Dalibor Svrcina holds the paper edge — ranked #112.

Key context

Freshness: Dalibor Svrcina comes in with 3 days of rest and 164 games in 14d, vs Leo Borg's 6 and 17.
Surface form: Dalibor Svrcina 7 of 10, Leo Borg 5 of 10 on hard recently — Dalibor Svrcina the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Svrcina D.Borg L.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate58% (38–27)57% (16–12)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO19031625

Hard-court ELO17791594

Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 26 matches

1st-serve points won66%69%

Return points won44%40%

Aces / match3.04.5

ClutchLast 57 vs 26 matches

Break points saved58%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast5°C · Drizzle

Wind43 km/h

Humidity86%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Svrcina D.Borg L.

3Days since last match6

2Matches · 7 days1

51Games · 7 days17

6Matches · 14 days1

164Games · 14 days17

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Dalibor Svrcina vs Leo Borg — Helsinki Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/borg-vs-svrcina-helsinki-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).