Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Bigun K.
76%24%
Clear edge for Bigun K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.
Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bigun K.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Colleu S.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 37% in USA (78)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 518
Hard ELO1 501
Last 106–4
ELO1 498
Hard ELO1 497
Last 101–2
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Bigun K.Colleu S.
FormLast 10 vs 3 matches
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)1–2
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1518 (ahead)1498
Hard-court ELO1501 (ahead)1497
Draw
Odds
Conditions
17:15 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity47%
Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.
Cite this
Umpiry, "Kaylan Bigun vs Sasha Colleu — Champaign Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/bigun-vs-colleu-champaign-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).