Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Max Houkes | Metz Round of 32

UMPIRY

MetzR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00

Nikoloz Basilashvili(3)ATP #86 · GEO70%

VSClear favourite · Basilashvili N.

Max HoukesATP #218 · NED30%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Basilashvili N.

70%30%

Clear edge for Basilashvili N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Basilashvili N.7.2/10

Strong advantage

Houkes M.4.4/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+304 Hard Elo edgeSupports Basilashvili N.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1672Supports Basilashvili N.

Recent runLost last 3Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardInformative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Basilashvili N.

ELO1 882

Hard ELO1 761

Last 107–3

Age34

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $9.8M2026 $383K

ELO1 741

Hard ELO1 513

Last 106–4

Age26

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $293K2026 $108K

Nikoloz Basilashvili faces Max Houkes in the Metz round of 32 on hard. Nikoloz Basilashvili holds the paper edge — ranked #86, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 300-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Under pressure: In the tight moments, Nikoloz Basilashvili has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 54 vs 23).
Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Nikoloz Basilashvili rising, Max Houkes cooling.
Head-to-head: Nikoloz Basilashvili leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Rotterdam 2023.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Basilashvili N. leads 1–0

Basilashvili N.February 2023RotterdamHard6-4 6-4

Evidence

Basilashvili N.Houkes M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–36–4

Season win rate51% (34–33)61% (36–23)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18821741

Hard-court ELO17611513

Serve vs returnLast 57 vs 59 matches

1st-serve points won76%70%

Return points won36%41%

Aces / match7.23.7

ClutchLast 57 vs 59 matches

Break points saved60%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast10°C · Partly cloudy

Wind18 km/h

Humidity74%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Basilashvili N.Houkes M.

7Days since last match6

1Matches · 7 days1

22Games · 7 days29

2Matches · 14 days2

41Games · 14 days49

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Max Houkes — Metz Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/basilashvili-vs-houkes-metz-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).