UMPIRY
EN

Hynek Barton vs Alexis Galarneau — Drummondville Round of 32

DrummondvilleR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00
Hynek BartonATP #277 · CZE55%
VSToss-up
Alexis Galarneau(7)ATP #192 · CAN45%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Barton H.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Galarneau A.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+39 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Galarneau A.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1593Against the prediction · Galarneau A.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Galarneau A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 715
Hard ELO1 604
Last 103–7
Age22
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $184K2026 $54K
ELO1 751
Hard ELO1 648
Last 102–8
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $944K2026 $251K

Hynek Barton faces Alexis Galarneau in the Drummondville round of 32 on hard. Alexis Galarneau is the paper favourite — ranked #192, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage — but Hynek Barton arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 9 on hard to Alexis Galarneau's 1 of 9.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Hynek Barton carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Hynek Barton 3 of 9, Alexis Galarneau 1 of 9 on hard recently — Hynek Barton the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Barton H.Galarneau A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–7 (ahead)2–8
Season win rate54% (37–32)54% (37–31) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17151751 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16041648 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 65 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)69%
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match6.0 (ahead)3.6
ClutchLast 69 vs 65 matches
Break points saved61% (ahead)58%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast4°C · Overcast
Wind13 km/h
Humidity70%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Barton H.Galarneau A.
5Days since last match5
1Matches · 7 days1
32Games · 7 days22 — fresher
2Matches · 14 days2
60Games · 14 days44 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hynek Barton vs Alexis Galarneau — Drummondville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/barton-vs-galarneau-drummondville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).