UMPIRY
EN

Matias Soto vs Alex Barrena — Montevideo Round of 32

MontevideoR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Barrena A.
40%60%

Barrena A. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

ELO1 667
Clay ELO1 644
Last 106–4
Age27
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $296K2026 $57K
ELO1 692
Clay ELO1 673
Last 106–4
Age24
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $304K2026 $138K

Matias Soto faces Alex Barrena in the Montevideo round of 32 on clay. Alex Barrena is the paper favourite — ranked #232 — but Matias Soto arrives in form, winning 3 of their last 6 on clay to Alex Barrena's 2 of 6.

Key context

  • Surface form: Matias Soto 3 of 6, Alex Barrena 2 of 6 on clay recently — Matias Soto the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Alex Barrena carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Soto M.Barrena A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–46–4
Season win rate57% (32–24) (ahead)49% (31–32)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16671692 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16441673 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 51 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)63%
Return points won41%41%
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)2.0
ClutchLast 51 vs 63 matches
Break points saved60% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity77%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matias Soto vs Alex Barrena — Montevideo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/barrena-vs-soto-montevideo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).