UMPIRY
EN

Ozan Baris vs Kenta Miyoshi — Champaign Round of 32

ChampaignR32HardMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Ozan BarisATP #397 · USA49%
VSToss-up
Kenta MiyoshiATP #415 · JPN51%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Baris O.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Miyoshi K.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Baris O.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 55% in USA (118)Against the prediction · Baris O.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Baris O.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 632
Hard ELO1 581
Last 105–5
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $60K2026 $20K
ELO1 618
Hard ELO1 592
Last 104–6
Age22
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $52K2026 $16K

Ozan Baris faces Kenta Miyoshi in the Champaign round of 32 on hard. Ozan Baris holds the paper edge — ranked #397. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Kenta Miyoshi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Ozan Baris 5 of 10, Kenta Miyoshi 4 of 10 on hard recently — Ozan Baris the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Baris O.Miyoshi K.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate66% (25–13) (ahead)61% (27–17)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1632 (ahead)1618
Hard-court ELO15811592 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 25 vs 39 matches
1st-serve points won73%73%
Return points won37%41% (ahead)
Aces / match4.36.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 25 vs 39 matches
Break points saved53%60% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast7°C · Clear
Wind11 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Baris O.Miyoshi K.
3Days since last match5 — fresher
4Matches · 7 days3 — fresher
73Games · 7 days68 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days5 — fresher
119Games · 14 days110 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ozan Baris vs Kenta Miyoshi — Champaign Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/baris-vs-miyoshi-champaign-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).