Mikael Arseneault vs Clement Chidekh | Drummondville Round of 32

UMPIRY

DrummondvilleR32HardMon 16 Nov · 11:00

Mikael ArseneaultCAN20%

VSStrong favourite · Chidekh C.

Clement Chidekh(2)ATP #129 · FRA80%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Chidekh C.

20%80%

Clear edge for Chidekh C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Arseneault M.5.4/10

Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Chidekh C.6.8/10

Slight advantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form8 of last 10 on hardSupports Chidekh C.

Recent run4-match win streakSupports Chidekh C.

Head-to-headTrails 0–1 on hardInformative

Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysInformative

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 543

Hard ELO1 539

Last 106–4

Age19

EarningsCareer $22K2026 $4K

ELO1 824

Hard ELO1 766

Last 108–2

Age25

EarningsCareer $450K2026 $139K

Mikael Arseneault faces Clement Chidekh in the Drummondville round of 32 on hard. Clement Chidekh holds the paper edge — leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Key context

Fatigue load: Clement Chidekh carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Head-to-head: Clement Chidekh leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Saint-Augustin 1 2023.
Surface form: Mikael Arseneault 6 of 10, Clement Chidekh 8 of 10 on hard recently — Clement Chidekh the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Chidekh C. leads 1–0

Chidekh C.October 2023M25 Saint-Augustin 1Hard6-2 6-4

Evidence

Arseneault M.Chidekh C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate55% (11–9)70% (60–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15431824

Hard-court ELO15391766

Serve vs returnLast 19 vs 80 matches

1st-serve points won67%71%

Return points won42%43%

Aces / match3.03.1

ClutchLast 19 vs 80 matches

Break points saved57%60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast4°C · Overcast

Wind13 km/h

Humidity70%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mikael Arseneault vs Clement Chidekh — Drummondville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/arseneault-vs-chidekh-drummondville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).