UMPIRY
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Valerio Aboian vs Zdenek Kolar — Montevideo Round of 32

MontevideoR32ClayMon 16 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Aboian V.
64%36%

Aboian V. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Aboian V.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Kolar Z.6.1/10
Even match
Why
Surface+146 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Kolar Z.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1506Against the prediction · Kolar Z.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Kolar Z.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 698
Clay ELO1 681
Last 107–3
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $145K2026 $29K
ELO1 695
Clay ELO1 670
Last 104–6
Age30
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.3M2026 $163K

Valerio Aboian faces Zdenek Kolar in the Montevideo round of 32 on clay. Zdenek Kolar is the paper favourite — ranked #204, a roughly 150-point clay Elo advantage — but Valerio Aboian arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on clay to Zdenek Kolar's 4 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Aboian V.Kolar Z.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate61% (46–29) (ahead)44% (27–34)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1698 (ahead)1695
Clay-court ELO1681 (ahead)1670
Serve vs returnLast 72 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won68% (ahead)65%
Return points won42% (ahead)39%
Aces / match5.0 (ahead)2.2
ClutchLast 72 vs 59 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast22°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity77%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Aboian V.Kolar Z.
10 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days21
2Matches · 14 days2
44Games · 14 days37 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Valerio Aboian vs Zdenek Kolar — Montevideo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-16/aboian-vs-kolar-montevideo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 16 November 2026).