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Matt Kuhar vs Vladislav Melnic — Drummondville Qualifying Round of 32

DrummondvilleQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 15:30
Matt KuharATP #749 · USA55%
VSToss-up
Vladislav MelnicROU45%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kuhar M.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Melnic V.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form3 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 535
Hard ELO1 530
Last 105–5
Age30
EarningsCareer $36K2026 $7K
ELO1 509
Hard ELO1 517
Last 105–5
Age27
EarningsCareer $27K2026 $5K

Matt Kuhar faces Vladislav Melnic in the Drummondville qualifying round of 32 on hard. Matt Kuhar brings the better recent hard form (5 of 8).

Key context

  • Surface form: Matt Kuhar 5 of 8, Vladislav Melnic 4 of 8 on hard recently — Matt Kuhar the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Matt Kuhar carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kuhar M.Melnic V.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate43% (13–17) (ahead)30% (7–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1535 (ahead)1509
Hard-court ELO1530 (ahead)1517
Serve vs returnLast 23 vs 20 matches
1st-serve points won65% (ahead)63%
Return points won41% (ahead)37%
Aces / match2.63.3 (ahead)
ClutchLast 23 vs 20 matches
Break points saved54%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast5°C · Overcast
Wind13 km/h
Humidity71%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matt Kuhar vs Vladislav Melnic — Drummondville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/kuhar-vs-melnic-drummondville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).