UMPIRY
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Luca Nardi vs Milos Karol — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 10:00Live
Luca NardiATP #263 · ITA
Milos KarolATP #594 · SVK
SetsGamesGame1
73
0
52
00
Odds

No breaks in the 2nd

Live Win Probability

i
LIVE
—Nardi L.
—Karol M.
Luca NardiMilos Karol
Serve flowNardi L. broken once · Karol M. broken twice.
  • Hold to love/15
  • Hold to 30
  • Hold to 40 / deuce
  • Broken
  • Result unknown
Nardi L.
8/9Karol M.
6/8
Set 1Set 2

Match momentum

Last 30 pointsNardi L.Karol M.
EvenNardi L.Karol M.
Swinging toNardi L.8
6Last 12 points6
9Last 3 games11
2/5Break points1/2
30 pointsNow

Live statistics · Serve vs return

Nardi L.Karol M.
Serve
  • 89% · 8/9Service games held75% · 6/8
Return
  • 2Breaks of serve1

Key moments

Latest first
  1. SETSet 1 · Game 12Nardi L. took the set
  2. BREAKSet 1 · Game 12Nardi L. broke serve
  3. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 9Nardi L. held to love
  4. BREAKSet 1 · Game 6Nardi L. broke serve
  5. HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 5Nardi L. held to love
  6. BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Karol M. broke serve
Pre-match context

Nardi L. came in with the higher hard rating (1661 vs 1603).

Pre-match prediction

Set before the first ball · not updated in play
Pre-match win probability
70%30%
Umpiry Score
6.9/10/105.2
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probability
ELO1 765
Hard ELO1 661
Last 105–5
Age23
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.4M2026 $256K
ELO1 663
Hard ELO1 603
Last 105–5
Age23
Height198 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $149K2026 $12K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Season statistics

Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Nardi L.Karol M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–55–5
Season win rate49% (19–20) (ahead)41% (11–16)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1765 (ahead)1663
Hard-court ELO1661 (ahead)1603
Serve vs returnLast 38 vs 25 matches
1st-serve points won68%76% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)36%
Aces / match4.010.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 38 vs 25 matches
Break points saved65% (ahead)61%

Draw

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard
Weather8°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity92%

Match info

  • Started10:00 local

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Nardi L.Karol M.
5Days since last match13 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
69Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
69Games · 14 days18 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luca Nardi vs Milos Karol — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/karol-vs-nardi-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).