UMPIRY
EN

Cyril Vandermeersch vs Alibek Kachmazov — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Kachmazov A.
23%77%

Clear edge for Kachmazov A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Vandermeersch C.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kachmazov A.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Kachmazov A.
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Vandermeersch C.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Recent runLost last 2Both players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 642
Hard ELO1 619
Last 102–8
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $68K2026 $15K
ELO1 725
Hard ELO1 676
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $446K2026 $9K

Cyril Vandermeersch faces Alibek Kachmazov in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. They have met once, Cyril Vandermeersch leading 1–0. Alibek Kachmazov brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Vandermeersch C. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Vandermeersch C.Kachmazov A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–87–3 (ahead)
Season win rate23% (3–10)70% (21–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16421725 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16191676 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 12 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won66%75% (ahead)
Return points won34%40% (ahead)
Aces / match2.78.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 12 vs 28 matches
Break points saved61%66% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity88%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Vandermeersch C.Kachmazov A.
7Days since last match14 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
28Games · 7 days0 — fresher
1Matches · 14 days1
28Games · 14 days12 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Cyril Vandermeersch vs Alibek Kachmazov — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/kachmazov-vs-vandermeersch-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).