UMPIRY
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Nicolas Hollender vs Ryan Nijboer — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32

MontevideoQ32QualifyingClaySun 15 Nov · 13:00
Nicolas HollenderARG8%
VSStrong favourite · Nijboer R.
Ryan NijboerATP #382 · NED92%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Nijboer R.
8%92%

Clear edge for Nijboer R. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 13 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hollender N.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Nijboer R.5.9/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on clayInformative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Recent runLost last 2Both players
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 416
Clay ELO1 428
Last 103–7
Age25
Height191 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 702
Clay ELO1 679
Last 105–5
Age27
Height180 cm
PlaysRight

Nicolas Hollender faces Ryan Nijboer in the Montevideo qualifying round of 32 on clay. Ryan Nijboer brings the better recent clay form (5 of 10).

Key context

  • Surface form: Nicolas Hollender 3 of 10, Ryan Nijboer 5 of 10 on clay recently — Ryan Nijboer the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Ryan Nijboer carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hollender N.Nijboer R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate29% (2–5)66% (35–18) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14161702 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO14281679 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 5 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won64%71% (ahead)
Return points won33%42% (ahead)
Aces / match3.03.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 5 vs 52 matches
Break points saved38%63% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind20 km/h
Humidity87%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Hollender vs Ryan Nijboer — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/hollender-vs-nijboer-montevideo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).