Lui Maxted vs Tom Hands — Champaign Qualifying Round of 32
Lui Maxted faces Tom Hands in the Champaign qualifying round of 32 on hard. Lui Maxted brings the better recent hard form (6 of 7).
Key context
- Surface form: Lui Maxted 6 of 7, Tom Hands 2 of 7 on hard recently — Lui Maxted the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Lui Maxted carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
Live Win Probability
i—Maxted L.
—Hands T.
Lui MaxtedTom Hands
Serve flowMaxted L. broken once · Hands T. broken once.
- Hold to love/15
- Hold to 30
- Hold to 40 / deuce
- Broken
- Result unknown
Maxted L.2/3Hands T.2/3
Set 1
Match momentum
Last 30 pointsMaxted L.Hands T.Swinging toMaxted L.14
8Last 12 points4
13Last 3 games10
1/5Break points1/4
30 pointsNow
Break of serve
Key moments
Latest first- HOLD 0Set 1 · Game 3Hands T. held to love
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 2Hands T. broke serve
- BREAKSet 1 · Game 1Maxted L. broke serve
Pre-match context
Maxted L. came in with the higher hard rating (1634 vs 1501) and the better recent record (7–3 vs 4–6).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
90%10%
Umpiry Score
6.1/10/105.5
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Maxted L.Hands T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate62% (31–19) (ahead)0% (0–1)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1661 (ahead)1503
Hard-court ELO1634 (ahead)1501
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 1 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)66%
Return points won40% (ahead)22%
Aces / match3.6 (ahead)3.0
ClutchLast 45 vs 1 matches
Break points saved62%67% (ahead)
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Lui Maxted vs Tom Hands — Champaign Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/hands-vs-maxted-champaign-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).