Marat Sharipov vs Antoine Ghibaudo | Metz Qualifying Round of 32

UMPIRY

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 14:30

Marat SharipovATP #228 · RUS82%

VSStrong favourite · Sharipov M.

Antoine GhibaudoATP #505 · FRA18%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Sharipov M.

82%18%

Clear edge for Sharipov M. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sharipov M.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Ghibaudo A.5.7/10

Slight disadvantage

Why

Surface+14 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sharipov M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1475Against the prediction · Ghibaudo A.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on hardAgainst the prediction · Ghibaudo A.

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 766

Hard ELO1 718

Last 107–3

Age24

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $160K2026 $24K

ELO1 642

Hard ELO1 612

Last 104–6

Age21

Height191 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $149K2026 $55K

Marat Sharipov faces Antoine Ghibaudo in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Marat Sharipov is the paper favourite — ranked #228 — but Antoine Ghibaudo has won their only previous meeting.

Key context

Head-to-head: Antoine Ghibaudo leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at M25 Doha 1 2024.
Surface form: Marat Sharipov 5 of 8, Antoine Ghibaudo 4 of 8 on hard recently — Marat Sharipov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Ghibaudo A. leads 1–0

Ghibaudo A.January 2024M25 Doha 1Hard4-6 6-3 6-4

Evidence

Sharipov M.Ghibaudo A.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–34–6

Season win rate64% (36–20)50% (18–18)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17661642

Hard-court ELO17181612

Serve vs returnLast 52 vs 35 matches

1st-serve points won78%69%

Return points won39%38%

Aces / match9.73.4

ClutchLast 52 vs 35 matches

Break points saved65%67%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local

SurfaceHard

Forecast12°C · Rain

Wind11 km/h

Humidity79%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marat Sharipov vs Antoine Ghibaudo — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/ghibaudo-vs-sharipov-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).