UMPIRY
EN

Calvin Hemery vs Alexander Donski — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 11:30
Calvin HemeryATP #284 · FRA79%
VSClear favourite · Hemery C.
Alexander DonskiATP #515 · CAN21%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Hemery C.
79%21%

Clear edge for Hemery C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hemery C.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Donski A.5.0/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Hemery C.
Recent runLost last 9Informative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Donski A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 726
Hard ELO1 589
Last 105–5
Age31
ELO1 611
Hard ELO1 589
Last 103–7
Age28

Calvin Hemery faces Alexander Donski in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Calvin Hemery holds the paper edge — ranked #284.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hemery C.Donski A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate60% (41–27) (ahead)0% (0–6)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1726 (ahead)1611
Hard-court ELO15891589
Serve vs returnLast 65 vs 6 matches
1st-serve points won73% (ahead)72%
Return points won37% (ahead)34%
Aces / match5.710.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 65 vs 6 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)56%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast9°C · Overcast
Wind9 km/h
Humidity88%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hemery C.Donski A.
2Days since last match7 — fresher
5Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
124Games · 7 days16 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
139Games · 14 days48 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Calvin Hemery vs Alexander Donski — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/donski-vs-hemery-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).