UMPIRY
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L. Couturier vs Jonas Forejtek — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 16:00
L. CouturierFRA18%
VSStrong favourite · Forejtek J.
Jonas ForejtekATP #303 · CZE82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Forejtek J.
18%82%

Clear edge for Forejtek J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Couturier L.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Forejtek J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardInformative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 491
Hard ELO1 491
Last 105–5
Age18
ELO1 730
Hard ELO1 611
Last 106–4
Age25

L. Couturier faces Jonas Forejtek in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Jonas Forejtek brings the better recent hard form (5 of 7).

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Jonas Forejtek carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: L. Couturier 3 of 7, Jonas Forejtek 5 of 7 on hard recently — Jonas Forejtek the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Couturier L.Forejtek J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate40% (6–9)58% (37–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14911730 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14911611 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 11 vs 62 matches
1st-serve points won64%68% (ahead)
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match3.63.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 11 vs 62 matches
Break points saved61%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Showers
Wind11 km/h
Humidity83%

Cite this

Umpiry, "L. Couturier vs Jonas Forejtek — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/couturier-vs-forejtek-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).