UMPIRY
EN

Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 17:30
Filippo MoroniITA20%
VSStrong favourite · Coulibaly E.
Eliakim CoulibalyATP #342 · CIV80%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Coulibaly E.
20%80%

Clear edge for Coulibaly E. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Moroni F.5.5/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Coulibaly E.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Coulibaly E.
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Coulibaly E.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 659
Hard ELO1 611
Last 106–4
Age25
Height175 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 717
Hard ELO1 698
Last 108–2
Age24
Height183 cm
PlaysLeft

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Moroni F.Coulibaly E.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–48–2 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (8–8)62% (26–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16591717 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16111698 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 16 vs 38 matches
1st-serve points won65%74% (ahead)
Return points won44% (ahead)42%
Aces / match1.35.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 16 vs 38 matches
Break points saved53%61% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

17:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Overcast
Wind12 km/h
Humidity83%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/coulibaly-vs-moroni-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).