UMPIRY
EN

Franco Ribero vs Thiago Cigarran — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32

MontevideoQ32QualifyingClaySun 15 Nov · 11:30
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Cigarran T.
34%66%

Cigarran T. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Ribero F.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Cigarran T.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on claySupports Cigarran T.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on clayAgainst the prediction · Ribero F.
Recent runLost last 2Both players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players
ELO1 516
Clay ELO1 516
Last 104–6
Age27
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $67K2026 $27K
ELO1 565
Clay ELO1 554
Last 105–5
Age26
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $55K2026 $15K

Franco Ribero faces Thiago Cigarran in the Montevideo qualifying round of 32 on clay. Thiago Cigarran holds the paper edge — ranked #589. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

2 meetings · level 1–1
11

Evidence

Ribero F.Cigarran T.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–65–5 (ahead)
Season win rate45% (20–24)56% (32–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15161565 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15161554 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 44 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won66% (ahead)65%
Return points won39%43% (ahead)
Aces / match2.9 (ahead)2.1
ClutchLast 44 vs 55 matches
Break points saved58% (ahead)57%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Mainly clear
Wind18 km/h
Humidity87%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Ribero F.Cigarran T.
11Days since last match12 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
58Games · 14 days29 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Franco Ribero vs Thiago Cigarran — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/cigarran-vs-ribero-montevideo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).