UMPIRY
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Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra — Champaign Qualifying Round of 32

ChampaignQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 15:45
Nicholas MekhaelUSA20%
VSStrong favourite · Chopra K.
Keshav ChopraATP #681 · USA80%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Chopra K.
20%80%

Clear edge for Chopra K. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mekhael N.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Chopra K.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardInformative
Recent runLost last 3Informative
CountryWon 56% in USA (89)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 500
Hard ELO1 500
Last 101–1
Age19
ELO1 574
Hard ELO1 559
Last 105–5
Age25

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mekhael N.Chopra K.
FormLast 2 vs 10 matches · 2026
Win–loss1–15–5
Season win rate50% (1–1)62% (21–13) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15001574 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15001559 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 1 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won65%68% (ahead)
Return points won28%38% (ahead)
Aces / match2.02.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 1 vs 16 matches
Break points saved20%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

15:45 local
SurfaceHard · medium-fast
Forecast10°C · Clear
Wind5 km/h
Humidity46%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra — Champaign Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/chopra-vs-mekhael-champaign-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).