Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Ignacio Carou

UMPIRY

MontevideoQ32QualifyingClaySun 15 Nov · 13:00

Carlos Sanchez JoverATP #328 · ESP96%

VSStrong favourite · Sanchez Jover C.

Ignacio CarouURU4%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Sanchez Jover C.

96%4%

Clear edge for Sanchez Jover C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 25 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Sanchez Jover C.5.7/10

Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Carou I.4.5/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form4 of last 10 on claySupports Sanchez Jover C.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 723

Clay ELO1 691

Last 104–6

Age26

Height173 cm

PlaysLeft

ELO1 436

Clay ELO1 431

Last 100–10

Age27

Height178 cm

PlaysRight

Carlos Sanchez Jover faces Ignacio Carou in the Montevideo qualifying round of 32 on clay. Carlos Sanchez Jover brings the better recent clay form (3 of 9).

Key context

Surface form: Carlos Sanchez Jover 3 of 9, Ignacio Carou 0 of 9 on clay recently — Carlos Sanchez Jover the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Carlos Sanchez Jover carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Sanchez Jover C.Carou I.

FormLast 10 matches each

Win–loss4–60–10

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17231436

Clay-court ELO16911431

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local

SurfaceClay

Forecast20°C · Clear

Wind20 km/h

Humidity87%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Ignacio Carou — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/carou-vs-jover-montevideo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).