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Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Catry — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 16:00
Alejandro Moro CanasATP #242 · ESP72%
VSClear favourite · Moro Canas A.
Robin CatryATP #654 · FRA28%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Moro Canas A.
72%28%

Clear edge for Moro Canas A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Moro Canas A.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Catry R.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Catry R.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Moro Canas A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 770
Hard ELO1 650
Last 107–3
Age25
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $707K2026 $156K
ELO1 600
Hard ELO1 592
Last 104–6
Age24
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $49K2026 $15K

Alejandro Moro Canas faces Robin Catry in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Alejandro Moro Canas holds the paper edge — ranked #242.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Moro Canas A.Catry R.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate59% (47–32) (ahead)46% (16–19)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1770 (ahead)1600
Hard-court ELO1650 (ahead)1592
Serve vs returnLast 75 vs 28 matches
1st-serve points won67%75% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)37%
Aces / match3.36.7 (ahead)
ClutchLast 75 vs 28 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)60%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Showers
Wind11 km/h
Humidity83%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Moro Canas A.Catry R.
2Days since last match7 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
55Games · 7 days34 — fresher
3Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
55Games · 14 days34 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alejandro Moro Canas vs Robin Catry — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/canas-vs-catry-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).