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Matisse Bobichon vs Ugo Blanchet — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 14:30
Matisse BobichonATP #517 · FRA33%
VSClear favourite · Blanchet U.
Ugo BlanchetATP #334 · FRA67%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Blanchet U.
33%67%

Clear edge for Blanchet U. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Bobichon M.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Blanchet U.6.3/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Blanchet U.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 644
Hard ELO1 626
Last 107–3
Age24
EarningsCareer $22K2026 $7K
ELO1 755
Hard ELO1 678
Last 106–4
Age27
EarningsCareer $993K2026 $122K

Matisse Bobichon faces Ugo Blanchet in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Ugo Blanchet holds the paper edge — ranked #334. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Freshness: Workload contrast: Matisse Bobichon 0 games in 14 days, Ugo Blanchet 53.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 9 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Bobichon M.Blanchet U.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate62% (23–14) (ahead)47% (25–28)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16441755 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16261678 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 32 vs 52 matches
1st-serve points won72%75% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)35%
Aces / match5.9 (ahead)5.3
ClutchLast 32 vs 52 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)65%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

14:30 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast12°C · Rain
Wind11 km/h
Humidity79%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Bobichon M.Blanchet U.
18 — fresherDays since last match6
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
0 — fresherGames · 7 days53
0 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
0 — fresherGames · 14 days53
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Matisse Bobichon vs Ugo Blanchet — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/blanchet-vs-bobichon-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).