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Hugo Grenier vs Florent Bax — Metz Qualifying Round of 32

MetzQ32QualifyingHardSun 15 Nov · 13:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
46%54%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Grenier H.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Bax F.5.3/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+136 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Grenier H.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1548Against the prediction · Grenier H.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Bax F.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 728
Hard ELO1 670
Last 105–5
Age30
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $143K
ELO1 684
Hard ELO1 625
Last 106–4
Age27
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $195K2026 $93K

Hugo Grenier faces Florent Bax in the Metz qualifying round of 32 on hard. Florent Bax holds the paper edge — ranked #292.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Grenier H.Bax F.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate42% (21–29)58% (38–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1728 (ahead)1684
Hard-court ELO1670 (ahead)1625
Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 59 matches
1st-serve points won71%76% (ahead)
Return points won38%38%
Aces / match6.16.6 (ahead)
ClutchLast 46 vs 59 matches
Break points saved57%64% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast11°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity81%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Grenier H.Bax F.
5Days since last match12 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
77Games · 7 days0 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
115Games · 14 days20 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hugo Grenier vs Florent Bax — Metz Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/bax-vs-grenier-metz-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).