UMPIRY
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Nicolas Kicker vs Boris Arias — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32

MontevideoQ32QualifyingClaySun 15 Nov · 11:30
Nicolas KickerATP #336 · ARG92%
VSStrong favourite · Kicker N.
Boris AriasBOL8%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Kicker N.
92%8%

Clear edge for Kicker N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 13 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Kicker N.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Arias B.4.9/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on claySupports Kicker N.
Recent runLost last 10Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Arias B.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 709
Clay ELO1 686
Last 106–4
Age34
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 437
Clay ELO1 437
Last 100–10
Age33
Height185 cm
PlaysRight

Nicolas Kicker faces Boris Arias in the Montevideo qualifying round of 32 on clay. Nicolas Kicker brings the better recent clay form (6 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Kicker N.Arias B.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)0–10
Season win rate52% (26–24) (ahead)24% (4–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1709 (ahead)1437
Clay-court ELO1686 (ahead)1437
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 15 matches
1st-serve points won64% (ahead)61%
Return points won43% (ahead)34%
Aces / match1.31.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 48 vs 15 matches
Break points saved57%58% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Mainly clear
Wind18 km/h
Humidity87%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Kicker N.Arias B.
8 — fresherDays since last match7
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days15
4Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
79Games · 14 days15 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Kicker vs Boris Arias — Montevideo Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-15/arias-vs-kicker-montevideo-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 15 November 2026).