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Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert — Stockholm Round of 16

StockholmR16HardWed 11 Nov · 16:00
Borna GojoATP #134 · CRO36%
VSSlight edge · Humbert U.
Ugo Humbert(7)ATP #39 · FRA64%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Humbert U.
36%64%

Humbert U. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Gojo B.6.0/10
Even match
Humbert U.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+181 Hard Elo edgeSupports Humbert U.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1868Supports Humbert U.
Recent run3-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Gojo B.
This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Humbert U.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 846
Hard ELO1 749
Last 107–3
Age28
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $1.6M2026 $188K
ELO1 951
Hard ELO1 853
Last 103–7
Age28
Height188 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $1.4M

Borna Gojo faces Ugo Humbert in the Stockholm round of 16 on hard. Ugo Humbert is the paper favourite — ranked #39, defending last year's final, a roughly 180-point hard Elo advantage — but Borna Gojo arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 6 on hard to Ugo Humbert's 2 of 6.

Key context

  • Freshness: Borna Gojo comes in with 1 days of rest and 128 games in 14d, vs Ugo Humbert's 1 and 108.
  • Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ugo Humbert has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 37 vs 14).
  • Surface form: Borna Gojo 4 of 6, Ugo Humbert 2 of 6 on hard recently — Borna Gojo the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Gojo B.Humbert U.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate70% (38–16) (ahead)53% (29–26)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO18461951 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO17491853 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 53 vs 55 matches
1st-serve points won79% (ahead)76%
Return points won36% (ahead)35%
Aces / match11.3 (ahead)7.3
ClutchLast 53 vs 55 matches
Break points saved67% (ahead)66%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast5°C · Overcast
Wind8 km/h
Humidity93%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Gojo B.Humbert U.
1Days since last match1
3Matches · 7 days2 — fresher
76Games · 7 days44 — fresher
5Matches · 14 days4 — fresher
128Games · 14 days108 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert — Stockholm Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-11/gojo-vs-humbert-stockholm-r16?utm_source=cite (as of 11 November 2026).