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Alice Tubello vs Julia Riera — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32

Cundinamarca Open - SopoR32ClayTue 10 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tubello A.6.5/10
Marginal edge
Riera J.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Why
Surface+54 Clay Elo edgeSupports Riera J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1563Supports Riera J.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Tubello A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 736
Clay ELO1 730
Last 108–2
Age25
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $363K2026 $190K
ELO1 752
Clay ELO1 733
Last 107–3
Age24
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $989K2026 $187K

Alice Tubello faces Julia Riera in the Cundinamarca Open - Sopo round of 32 on clay. Julia Riera is the paper favourite — ranked #137, a roughly 50-point clay Elo advantage — but Alice Tubello arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 8 on clay to Julia Riera's 6 of 8.

Key context

  • Form trend: Alice Tubello's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Julia Riera's has cooled.
  • Fatigue load: Julia Riera carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Alice Tubello 7 of 8, Julia Riera 6 of 8 on clay recently — Alice Tubello the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tubello A.Riera J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss8–2 (ahead)7–3
Season win rate64% (45–25)65% (40–22) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17361752 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO17301733 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 68 vs 62 matches
1st-serve points won60%63% (ahead)
Return points won48% (ahead)47%
Aces / match1.02.4 (ahead)
ClutchLast 68 vs 62 matches
Break points saved53%55% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity44%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Tubello A.Riera J.
3Days since last match3
4Matches · 7 days4
62 — fresherGames · 7 days88
9Matches · 14 days8 — fresher
170 — fresherGames · 14 days177
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Alice Tubello vs Julia Riera — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/riera-vs-tubello-cundinamarca-open-sopo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).