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Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32

Cundinamarca Open - SopoR32ClayTue 10 Nov · 10:00Main Court · Next on
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
49%51%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Maria T.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Giovannini L.5.8/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+78 Clay Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Maria T.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1702Against the prediction · Maria T.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Giovannini L.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 834
Clay ELO1 596
Last 107–3
Age39
EarningsCareer $7.7M2026 $1.0M
ELO1 711
Clay ELO1 711
Last 106–4
Age20
EarningsCareer $201K2026 $120K

Tatjana Maria faces Luisina Giovannini in the Cundinamarca Open - Sopo round of 32 on clay. Tatjana Maria holds the paper edge — ranked #66, a roughly 80-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

Maria T. and Giovannini L. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Maria T. went 2–1 (67%) against them, Giovannini L. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (0 : 0 better-results split).

2–167%Maria T. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents2–167%Giovannini L. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
4–2Sets4–4
31–25Games38–37
1–0Tiebreaks0–0
0–0Deciding sets2–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Maria T.Giovannini L.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)6–4
Season win rate58% (42–30)72% (38–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1834 (ahead)1711
Clay-court ELO15961711 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 53 matches
1st-serve points won67% (ahead)61%
Return points won45%49% (ahead)
Aces / match4.0 (ahead)1.6
ClutchLast 69 vs 53 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)56%

When it starts

Main Court · Next on · Starting at 10:00 AM
  • 1This match: Maria T. v Giovannini L.This match

Draw

Odds

Conditions

Main Court · 10:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Clear
Wind15 km/h
Humidity44%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Maria T.Giovannini L.
8 — fresherDays since last match4
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days3
0 — fresherGames · 7 days47
5Matches · 14 days5
106Games · 14 days95 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini — Cundinamarca Open - Sopo Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/giovannini-vs-maria-cundinamarca-open-sopo-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).