UMPIRY
EN

Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Shevchenko — Stockholm Round of 32

StockholmR32HardTue 10 Nov · 11:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · van Assche L.
65%35%

van Assche L. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
van Assche L.6.3/10
Marginal edge
Shevchenko A.6.2/10
Even match
Why
Surface+39 Hard Elo edgeSupports van Assche L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1701Supports van Assche L.
Recent run2-match win streakAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.
Head-to-headSplit 1–1 on hardSupports van Assche L.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Shevchenko A.
ELO1 914
Hard ELO1 760
Last 106–4
Age22
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.9M2026 $726K
ELO1 803
Hard ELO1 686
Last 105–5
Age25
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $3.8M2026 $727K

Luca Van Assche faces Alexander Shevchenko in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Luca Van Assche holds the paper edge — ranked #34, leading the head-to-head 3–2, a roughly 40-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

3 shared · last 12 months

van Assche L. and Shevchenko A. faced 3 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. van Assche L. went 2–2 (50%) against them, Shevchenko A. 2–1 (67%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 1 better-results split).

2–250%van Assche L. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–167%Shevchenko A. · better vs 1
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
5–4Sets5–5
43–42Games48–54
1–0Tiebreaks1–2
0–1Deciding sets2–0

Only 3 common opponents — small sample, treat as indicative.

Head-to-head

5 meetings · van Assche L. leads 3–2
32

Hard: level 1–1 · Clay: van Assche L. leads 2–1

Evidence

van Assche L.Shevchenko A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate65% (49–26) (ahead)46% (30–35)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1914 (ahead)1803
Hard-court ELO1760 (ahead)1686
Serve vs returnLast 70 vs 60 matches
1st-serve points won69%70% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)35%
Aces / match4.06.0 (ahead)
ClutchLast 70 vs 60 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:00 local
SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast5°C · Overcast
Wind10 km/h
Humidity73%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
van Assche L.Shevchenko A.
2 — fresherDays since last match1
5Matches · 7 days3 — fresher
141Games · 7 days61 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
157Games · 14 days61 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Shevchenko — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/assche-vs-shevchenko-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).