UMPIRY
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Nicolas Arseneault vs Niels Visker — M25 Montreal Round of 32

M25 MontrealR32HardTue 10 Nov · 13:20
Nicolas ArseneaultCAN24%
VSClear favourite · Visker N.
Niels Visker(2)ATP #419 · NED76%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Visker N.
24%76%

Clear edge for Visker N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Arseneault N.4.8/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Visker N.6.1/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Visker N.
Recent runLost last 5Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 567
Hard ELO1 553
Last 106–4
Age19
ELO1 656
Hard ELO1 623
Last 105–5
Age25

Nicolas Arseneault faces Niels Visker in the M25 Montreal round of 32 on hard. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

  • Surface form: Nicolas Arseneault 6 of 9, Niels Visker 5 of 9 on hard recently — Nicolas Arseneault the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Niels Visker carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Arseneault N.Visker N.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)5–5
Season win rate44% (8–10)57% (26–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15671656 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15531623 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 17 vs 46 matches
1st-serve points won67%79% (ahead)
Return points won37% (ahead)33%
Aces / match3.59.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 17 vs 46 matches
Break points saved61%69% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

13:20 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast7°C · Overcast
Wind11 km/h
Humidity83%

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Arseneault vs Niels Visker — M25 Montreal Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/arseneault-vs-visker-m25-montreal-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).