Rafael Tosetto vs Mateus Alves — M25 Santa Cruz do Sul Round of 32
Rafael Tosetto faces Mateus Alves in the M25 Santa Cruz do Sul round of 32 on clay. Mateus Alves holds the paper edge — ranked #410. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Freshness: Rafael Tosetto comes in with 7 days of rest and 66 games in 14d, vs Mateus Alves's 8 and 20.
- Surface form: Rafael Tosetto 5 of 10, Mateus Alves 6 of 10 on clay recently — Mateus Alves the sharper of late.
Match momentumInterrupted
Tosetto R.Last 8 games
Alves M.Set 1
How to read this chart
- Bar above the line = game won by the player named above it, below the line = the other one
- Height = how clearly the game was won; a game won to love is the tallest, one won from deuce the shortest
- Green = one of the most recent games the current momentum is read from
- Tick on the tip of a bar = break of serve
- Dashed line = start of a new set
- NOW = the game being played right now; it has no bar until it ends
Pre-match context
Alves M. came in with the higher clay rating (1592 vs 1536) and the better recent record (6–4 vs 5–5).
Pre-match prediction
Set before the first ball · not updated in playPre-match win probability
32%68%
Umpiry Score
6.1/10/105.5
Matchup strength 0–10 · not a probabilityCommon opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Season statistics
Form · Rating · Serve vs return · ClutchShowHide
Tosetto R.Alves M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–56–4 (ahead)
Season win rate55% (21–17) (ahead)46% (11–13)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15511607 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO15361592 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 14 matches
1st-serve points won66%68% (ahead)
Return points won40% (ahead)36%
Aces / match2.84.1 (ahead)
ClutchLast 35 vs 14 matches
Break points saved55%63% (ahead)
Draw
Cite this
Umpiry, "Rafael Tosetto vs Mateus Alves — M25 Santa Cruz do Sul Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-10/alves-vs-tosetto-m25-santa-cruz-do-sul-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 10 November 2026).