Mili Poljicak vs Chun Hsin Tseng | Matsuyama Round of 32

UMPIRY

MatsuyamaR32HardMon 9 Nov

Mili PoljicakATP #276 · CRO48%

VSToss-up

Chun Hsin TsengATP #230 · TPE52%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

48%52%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Poljicak M.4.9/10

Heavy underdog

Tseng C.6.3/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+198 Hard Elo edgeSupports Tseng C.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1554Supports Tseng C.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysSupports Tseng C.

Recent runLost last 4Both players

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

ELO1 695

Hard ELO1 555

Last 102–8

Age22

Height185 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $240K2026 $53K

ELO1 696

Hard ELO1 574

Last 105–5

Age25

Height175 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.8M2026 $183K

Mili Poljicak faces Chun Hsin Tseng in the Matsuyama round of 32 on hard. Chun Hsin Tseng holds the paper edge — ranked #230, a roughly 200-point hard Elo advantage.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Mili Poljicak 55 games in 14 days, Chun Hsin Tseng 23.
Under pressure: Mili Poljicak has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 23 vs Chun Hsin Tseng's 0).
Surface form: Mili Poljicak 2 of 7, Chun Hsin Tseng 3 of 7 on hard recently — Chun Hsin Tseng the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Poljicak M.Tseng C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss2–85–5

Season win rate53% (23–20)49% (26–27)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16951696

Hard-court ELO15551574

Serve vs returnLast 42 vs 49 matches

1st-serve points won73%67%

Return points won37%41%

Aces / match6.22.3

ClutchLast 42 vs 49 matches

Break points saved58%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast15°C · Mainly clear

Wind3 km/h

Humidity67%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Poljicak M.Tseng C.

5Days since last match4

1Matches · 7 days1

23Games · 7 days23

2Matches · 14 days1

55Games · 14 days23

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Mili Poljicak vs Chun Hsin Tseng — Matsuyama Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/poljicak-vs-tseng-matsuyama-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).