Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard — Orleans Qualifying Round of 16
Why
Surface+118 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Nardi L.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1585Against the prediction · Nardi L.
Recent run8-match win streakSupports Ritschard A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 761
Hard ELO1 659
Last 105–5
Age23
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $2.4M2026 $256K
ELO1 796
Hard ELO1 600
Last 1010–0
Age32
Height193 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $932K2026 $4K
Luca Nardi faces Alexander Ritschard in the Orleans qualifying round of 16 on hard. Luca Nardi is the paper favourite — ranked #239, a roughly 120-point hard Elo advantage — but Alexander Ritschard rides a 8-match win streak.
Key context
- Under pressure: Alexander Ritschard has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 36 vs Luca Nardi's 5).
- Last match: Luca Nardi dropped just 4 games past Alexander Donski.
- Last match: Alexander Ritschard won all two sets in tiebreaks against Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka.
Common opponents
0 shared · last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.
Head-to-head
They have not met before.
Evidence
Nardi L.Ritschard A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–510–0 (ahead)
Season win rate49% (18–19)88% (28–4) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO17611796 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1659 (ahead)1600
Serve vs returnLast 35 vs 31 matches
1st-serve points won68%74% (ahead)
Return points won39%45% (ahead)
Aces / match4.0 (ahead)3.5
ClutchLast 35 vs 31 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)61%
Draw
Odds
Cite this
Umpiry, "Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard — Orleans Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/nardi-vs-ritschard-orleans-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).