Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh | Knoxville Round of 32

UMPIRY

KnoxvilleR32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00

Aidan MayoATP #285 · USA55%

VSToss-up

Michael Mmoh(6)ATP #149 · USA45%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

55%45%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Mayo A.4.7/10

Heavy underdog

Mmoh M.6.8/10

Slight advantage

Why

Surface+240 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Mmoh M.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1613Against the prediction · Mmoh M.

Surface switchClay → HardSupports Mayo A.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysInformative

Head-to-headFirst meeting on hardBoth players

ELO1 697

Hard ELO1 653

Last 108–2

Age23

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $256K2026 $48K

ELO1 785

Hard ELO1 723

Last 106–4

Age28

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $2.5M2026 $120K

Aidan Mayo faces Michael Mmoh in the Knoxville round of 32 on hard. Michael Mmoh is the paper favourite — ranked #149, a roughly 240-point hard Elo advantage — but Aidan Mayo has won their only previous meeting, though none on hard. Aidan Mayo brings the better recent hard form (6 of 8).

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Aidan Mayo 192 games in 14 days, Michael Mmoh 0.
Under pressure: Michael Mmoh has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 52 vs Aidan Mayo's 12).
Head-to-head: Aidan Mayo leads the head-to-head 1–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Savannah CH 2024.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Mayo A. leads 1–0

Mayo A.April 2024Savannah CHClay4-6 6-4 2-0

Evidence

Mayo A.Mmoh M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss8–26–4

Season win rate60% (34–23)60% (33–22)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO16971785

Hard-court ELO16531723

Serve vs returnLast 55 vs 52 matches

1st-serve points won77%72%

Return points won39%40%

Aces / match7.06.0

ClutchLast 55 vs 52 matches

Break points saved65%63%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast12°C · Clear

Wind1 km/h

Humidity63%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Mayo A.Mmoh M.

1Days since last match20

6Matches · 7 days0

105Games · 7 days0

10Matches · 14 days0

192Games · 14 days0

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh — Knoxville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/mayo-vs-mmoh-knoxville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).