UMPIRY
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James Mccabe vs Jan Kumstat — Brisbane 3 Round of 32

Brisbane 3R32HardMon 9 Nov
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Kumstat J.
35%65%

Kumstat J. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
McCabe J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kumstat J.5.3/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Kumstat J.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · McCabe J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 662
Hard ELO1 570
Last 102–8
Age23
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $872K2026 $159K
ELO1 689
Hard ELO1 544
Last 105–5
Age19
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $76K2026 $50K

James Mccabe faces Jan Kumstat in the Brisbane 3 round of 32 on hard. Jan Kumstat holds the paper edge — ranked #194.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

McCabe J.Kumstat J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–85–5 (ahead)
Season win rate41% (19–27)74% (35–12) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16621689 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1570 (ahead)1544
Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won74%76% (ahead)
Return points won32%37% (ahead)
Aces / match8.28.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 43 vs 44 matches
Break points saved62%67% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
McCabe J.Kumstat J.
5 — fresherDays since last match1
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days4
21 — fresherGames · 7 days111
2 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
49 — fresherGames · 14 days127
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "James Mccabe vs Jan Kumstat — Brisbane 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/kumstat-vs-mccabe-brisbane-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).