Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius

UMPIRY

Hersonissos 3Q16QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov · 10:00

Oleksii KrutykhATP #442 · UKR62%

VSSlight edge · Krutykh O.

Oskari PaldaniusATP #624 · FIN38%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Krutykh O.

62%38%

Krutykh O. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Krutykh O.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Paldanius O.5.0/10

Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6

Why

Surface form5 of last 10 on hardAgainst the prediction · Paldanius O.

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Paldanius O.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

ELO1 701

Hard ELO1 618

Last 106–4

Age26

EarningsCareer $347K2026 $20K

ELO1 580

Hard ELO1 562

Last 108–2

Age19

EarningsCareer $23K2026 $9K

Oleksii Krutykh faces Oskari Paldanius in the Hersonissos 3 qualifying round of 16 on hard. Oleksii Krutykh holds the paper edge — ranked #442.

Key context

Last match: Oskari Paldanius handed Henri Haupt a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–2 win.
Last match: Oleksii Krutykh edged Kai Wehnelt in three tight sets (7–6 6–7 6–4).
Fatigue load: Oleksii Krutykh carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Krutykh O.Paldanius O.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss6–48–2

Season win rate65% (34–18)63% (24–14)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17011580

Hard-court ELO16181562

Serve vs returnLast 46 vs 36 matches

1st-serve points won71%65%

Return points won42%43%

Aces / match2.82.3

ClutchLast 46 vs 36 matches

Break points saved62%53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local

SurfaceHard · slow

Forecast15°C · Partly cloudy

Wind6 km/h

Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Oleksii Krutykh vs Oskari Paldanius — Hersonissos 3 Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/krutykh-vs-paldanius-hersonissos-3-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).