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Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy — Knoxville Round of 32

KnoxvilleR32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Nicolas Mejia(3)ATP #115 · COL73%
VSClear favourite · Mejia N.
Jack KennedyATP #396 · USA27%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Mejia N.
73%27%

Clear edge for Mejia N. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mejia N.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Kennedy J.5.4/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+13 Hard Elo edgeSupports Mejia N.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1581Against the prediction · Kennedy J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 54% in USA (91)Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 798
Hard ELO1 625
Last 103–7
Age26
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $776K2026 $391K
ELO1 518
Hard ELO1 485
Last 104–6
Age18
Height170 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $91K2026 $29K

Nicolas Mejia faces Jack Kennedy in the Knoxville round of 32 on hard. Nicolas Mejia holds the paper edge — ranked #115.

Key context

  • Surface form: Nicolas Mejia 2 of 6, Jack Kennedy 1 of 6 on hard recently — Nicolas Mejia the sharper of late.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Mejia N.Kennedy J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–74–6 (ahead)
Season win rate58% (36–26) (ahead)20% (1–4)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1798 (ahead)1518
Hard-court ELO1625 (ahead)1485
Serve vs returnLast 56 vs 5 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)61%
Return points won38% (ahead)34%
Aces / match5.1 (ahead)2.2
ClutchLast 56 vs 5 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)45%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mejia N.Kennedy J.
6 — fresherDays since last match4
1 — fresherMatches · 7 days2
35 — fresherGames · 7 days42
1 — fresherMatches · 14 days2
35 — fresherGames · 14 days42
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy — Knoxville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/kennedy-vs-mejia-knoxville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).