Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert

UMPIRY

StockholmR32HardMon 9 Nov · ~14:30CENTER COURT · After 1 match

Adolfo Daniel VallejoATP #56 · PAR38%

VSSlight edge · Humbert U.

Ugo Humbert(7)ATP #38 · FRA62%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Humbert U.

38%62%

Humbert U. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Vallejo D.4.9/10

Heavy underdog

Humbert U.6.5/10

Marginal edge

Why

Surface+324 Hard Elo edgeSupports Humbert U.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1868Supports Humbert U.

Recent runLost last 2Informative

This eventReached the final here last yearSupports Humbert U.

Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Humbert U.

ELO1 874

Hard ELO1 666

Last 105–5

Age22

Height183 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.2M2026 $936K

ELO1 945

Hard ELO1 849

Last 102–8

Age28

Height188 cm

PlaysLeft

EarningsCareer $11.8M2026 $1.4M

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo faces Ugo Humbert in the Stockholm round of 32 on hard. Ugo Humbert is the paper favourite — ranked #38, defending last year's final, a roughly 320-point hard Elo advantage — but Adolfo Daniel Vallejo arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 9 on hard to Ugo Humbert's 2 of 9.

Key context

Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Ugo Humbert grades 51 on serve, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 47 on return.
Fatigue load: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 4 of 9, Ugo Humbert 2 of 9 on hard recently — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo the sharper of late.

Common opponents

6 shared · last 12 months

Vallejo D. and Humbert U. faced 6 of the same opponents in the last 12 months. Vallejo D. went 2–6 (25%) against them, Humbert U. 2–4 (33%). Results against comparable opponents are close (1 : 2 better-results split).

2–625%Vallejo D. · better vs 1Record vs common opponents2–433%Humbert U. · better vs 2

Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines

7–13Sets6–9

75–103Games75–82

2–0Tiebreaks1–2

1–1Deciding sets1–2

vs Paul T.#14L6-3 3-6 4-6Cincinnati · hardL3-6 3-6London · grass
vs Lehecka J.#15L1-6 1-6Tokyo · hardL7-5 4-6 4-6Tokyo · hard
vs Van De Zandschulp B.#37L2-6 0-6Winston-Salem · hardW7-6(5) 6-7(9) 6-3Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard

Show 3 more ▾Show less ▴

vs Berrettini M.#43W7-6(6) 6-1Tokyo · hardL6-7(3) 5-7Rolex Paris Masters - Paris · hard
vs Gea A.#44L2-6 2-6Australian Open · hardL4-6 6-3 1-6Shanghai Masters · hard
vs Kouame M.#132L3-6 5-7 6-3 6-2Roland Garros · clayW6-3 7-5Monte Carlo Masters · clay

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Vallejo D.Humbert U.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–52–8

Season win rate65% (46–25)52% (28–26)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO18741945

Hard-court ELO16661849

Serve vs returnLast 69 vs 54 matches

1st-serve points won69%76%

Return points won41%35%

Aces / match3.47.4

ClutchLast 69 vs 54 matches

Break points saved58%66%

When it starts

CENTER COURT · After 1 match · Followed by

1Duckworth J. v Norrie C.Not before 13:00
2This match: Vallejo D. v Humbert U.This match
3Etcheverry T. v Dahlin M.Not before 18:00

Draw

Odds

Conditions

CENTER COURT · ~14:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium

Forecast5°C · Overcast

Wind16 km/h

Humidity74%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Vallejo D.Humbert U.

5Days since last match4

2Matches · 7 days2

65Games · 7 days60

3Matches · 14 days3

97Games · 14 days89

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert — Stockholm Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/humbert-vs-vallejo-stockholm-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).