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Naoya Honda vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Matsuyama Round of 32

MatsuyamaR32HardMon 9 Nov
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Sakellaridis S.
30%70%

Clear edge for Sakellaridis S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Honda N.4.7/10
Heavy underdog
Sakellaridis S.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+330 Hard Elo edgeSupports Sakellaridis S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1630Supports Sakellaridis S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Sakellaridis S.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 554
Hard ELO1 541
Last 105–5
Age20
EarningsCareer $42K2026 $11K
ELO1 770
Hard ELO1 671
Last 103–7
Age22
EarningsCareer $442K2026 $226K

Naoya Honda faces Stefanos Sakellaridis in the Matsuyama round of 32 on hard. Stefanos Sakellaridis holds the paper edge — ranked #129, a roughly 330-point hard Elo advantage. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Honda N.Sakellaridis S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–5 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate52% (22–20)61% (43–27) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15541770 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15411671 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 27 vs 68 matches
1st-serve points won75% (ahead)73%
Return points won38% (ahead)37%
Aces / match4.66.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 27 vs 68 matches
Break points saved56%59% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast15°C · Mainly clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Honda N.Sakellaridis S.
10 — fresherDays since last match5
0 — fresherMatches · 7 days1
0 — fresherGames · 7 days22
4Matches · 14 days3 — fresher
113Games · 14 days54 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Naoya Honda vs Stefanos Sakellaridis — Matsuyama Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/honda-vs-sakellaridis-matsuyama-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).