UMPIRY
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Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri — Lima 3 Round of 32

Lima 3R32ClayMon 9 Nov · 12:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Alcala Gurri M.
34%66%

Alcala Gurri M. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Mena F.5.6/10
Slight disadvantage
Alcala Gurri M.6.7/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+158 Clay Elo edgeSupports Alcala Gurri M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1580Supports Alcala Gurri M.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Head-to-headLeads 1–0 on clayAgainst the prediction · Mena F.
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 699
Clay ELO1 678
Last 106–4
Age34
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $744K2026 $42K
ELO1 754
Clay ELO1 731
Last 107–3
Age24
Height178 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $174K2026 $61K

Facundo Mena faces Max Alcala Gurri in the Lima 3 round of 32 on clay. Max Alcala Gurri is the paper favourite — ranked #130, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage — but Facundo Mena has won their only previous meeting. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Mena F. leads 1–0
10

Evidence

Mena F.Alcala Gurri M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–47–3 (ahead)
Season win rate56% (28–22)69% (33–15) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16991754 (ahead)
Clay-court ELO16781731 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 47 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)64%
Return points won38%47% (ahead)
Aces / match5.8 (ahead)0.8
ClutchLast 48 vs 47 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:00 local
SurfaceClay
Forecast20°C · Mainly clear
Wind9 km/h
Humidity67%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Mena F.Alcala Gurri M.
18Days since last match18
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
0Matches · 14 days0
0Games · 14 days0

Cite this

Umpiry, "Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri — Lima 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/gurri-vs-mena-lima-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).