Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich | Orleans Qualifying Round of 16

UMPIRY

OrleansQ16QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov · 12:30

Hugo GrenierATP #394 · FRA43%

VSToss-up

Martin KrumichATP #302 · CZE57%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up

43%57%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability

Grenier H.5.3/10

Clear underdog

Krumich M.4.5/10

Heavy underdog

Why

Surface+163 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Grenier H.

Overall ratingOverall Elo 1548Against the prediction · Grenier H.

Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players

This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players

Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysBoth players

ELO1 722

Hard ELO1 668

Last 105–5

Age30

Height196 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $1.7M2026 $143K

ELO1 720

Hard ELO1 566

Last 106–4

Age23

Height188 cm

PlaysRight

EarningsCareer $160K2026 $53K

Hugo Grenier faces Martin Krumich in the Orleans qualifying round of 16 on hard. Martin Krumich holds the paper edge — ranked #302.

Key context

Freshness: Workload contrast: Hugo Grenier 61 games in 14 days, Martin Krumich 23.
Last match: Hugo Grenier dropped the opening set before beating Luka Pavlovic 2–6 7–6 6–2.
Last match: Martin Krumich dropped the opening set before beating Cyril Vandermeersch 5–7 6–1 6–3.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Grenier H.Krumich M.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss5–56–4

Season win rate42% (20–28)57% (42–32)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO17221720

Hard-court ELO16681566

Serve vs returnLast 43 vs 71 matches

1st-serve points won70%70%

Return points won38%41%

Aces / match5.84.5

ClutchLast 43 vs 71 matches

Break points saved56%61%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

12:30 local

SurfaceHard · medium-fast

Forecast9°C · Overcast

Wind9 km/h

Humidity89%

Court pace medium-fast: rewards aggression.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days

Grenier H.Krumich M.

3Days since last match5

2Matches · 7 days1

38Games · 7 days23

3Matches · 14 days1

61Games · 14 days23

Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich — Orleans Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/grenier-vs-krumich-orleans-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).