UMPIRY
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Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski — Knoxville Round of 32

KnoxvilleR32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
45%55%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Giron M.6.6/10
Marginal edge
Kasnikowski M.5.1/10
Clear underdog
Why
Surface+336 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Giron M.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1718Against the prediction · Giron M.
CountryWon 59% in USA (95)Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Giron M.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 821
Hard ELO1 683
Last 102–8
Age33
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $7.4M2026 $1.0M
ELO1 755
Hard ELO1 663
Last 106–4
Age23
Height180 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $384K2026 $53K

Marcos Giron faces Maks Kasnikowski in the Knoxville round of 32 on hard. Marcos Giron is the paper favourite — ranked #89, a roughly 340-point hard Elo advantage — but Maks Kasnikowski arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Marcos Giron's 2 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Giron M.Kasnikowski M.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss2–86–4 (ahead)
Season win rate46% (25–29)62% (41–25) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1821 (ahead)1755
Hard-court ELO1683 (ahead)1663
Serve vs returnLast 54 vs 63 matches
1st-serve points won72%73% (ahead)
Return points won36%40% (ahead)
Aces / match5.1 (ahead)4.1
ClutchLast 54 vs 63 matches
Break points saved63% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Giron M.Kasnikowski M.
2 — fresherDays since last match1
3Matches · 7 days3
67 — fresherGames · 7 days73
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days5
67 — fresherGames · 14 days121
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski — Knoxville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/giron-vs-kasnikowski-knoxville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).