UMPIRY
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Michael Geerts vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32

Hersonissos 3R32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Michael GeertsATP #356 · BEL52%
VSToss-up
Juan Cruz Martin ManzanoATP #383 · ITA48%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winToss-up
52%48%

No meaningful edge. Serve performance in the first set is the likeliest tiebreaker.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Geerts M.6.0/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Martin Manzano J.5.8/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardInformative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Geerts M.
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 667
Hard ELO1 629
Last 104–6
Age31
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $456K2026 $29K
ELO1 656
Hard ELO1 499
Last 107–3
Age21
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $49K2026 $26K

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Geerts M.Martin Manzano J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate43% (16–21)59% (27–19) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1667 (ahead)1656
Hard-court ELO1629 (ahead)1499
Serve vs returnLast 37 vs 45 matches
1st-serve points won72% (ahead)64%
Return points won37%43% (ahead)
Aces / match4.6 (ahead)2.7
ClutchLast 37 vs 45 matches
Break points saved59% (ahead)53%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast15°C · Partly cloudy
Wind6 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Michael Geerts vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/geerts-vs-manzano-hersonissos-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).