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Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Yusuke Kusuhara — Matsuyama Round of 32

MatsuyamaR32HardMon 9 Nov
Jay Dylan Hara FriendATP #252 · JPN83%
VSStrong favourite · Hara Friend J.
Yusuke KusuharaJPN17%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Hara Friend J.
83%17%

Clear edge for Hara Friend J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Hara Friend J.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Kusuhara Y.5.2/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form6 of last 10 on hardSupports Hara Friend J.
Recent runLost last 6Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 714
Hard ELO1 671
Last 106–4
Age22
PlaysRight
ELO1 571
Hard ELO1 557
Last 103–7
Age29
PlaysRight

Jay Dylan Hara Friend faces Yusuke Kusuhara in the Matsuyama round of 32 on hard. Jay Dylan Hara Friend brings the better recent hard form (6 of 10).

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Hara Friend J.Kusuhara Y.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate65% (34–18) (ahead)23% (3–10)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1714 (ahead)1571
Hard-court ELO1671 (ahead)1557
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 10 matches
1st-serve points won71% (ahead)66%
Return points won38% (ahead)32%
Aces / match5.2 (ahead)2.3
ClutchLast 45 vs 10 matches
Break points saved64% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · medium
Forecast15°C · Mainly clear
Wind3 km/h
Humidity67%

Court pace medium: balanced pace.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Hara Friend J.Kusuhara Y.
10Days since last match14 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
2Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
34Games · 14 days18 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jay Dylan Hara Friend vs Yusuke Kusuhara — Matsuyama Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/friend-vs-kusuhara-matsuyama-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).