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Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32

Hersonissos 3R32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Ioannis XilasATP #502 · GRE62%
VSSlight edge · Xilas I.
Sergey FominATP #293 · UZB38%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Xilas I.
62%38%

Xilas I. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Xilas I.5.0/10
Heavy underdog
Fomin S.5.5/10
Slight disadvantage
Why
Surface+33 Hard Elo edgeAgainst the prediction · Fomin S.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1422Against the prediction · Fomin S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches1 three-setter in 14 daysInformative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 666
Hard ELO1 614
Last 106–4
Age25
EarningsCareer $54K2026 $15K
ELO1 668
Hard ELO1 603
Last 103–7
Age25
EarningsCareer $168K2026 $33K

Ioannis Xilas faces Sergey Fomin in the Hersonissos 3 round of 32 on hard. Sergey Fomin is the paper favourite — ranked #293, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage — but Ioannis Xilas arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Sergey Fomin's 3 of 10.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Ioannis Xilas carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Ioannis Xilas 6 of 10, Sergey Fomin 3 of 10 on hard recently — Ioannis Xilas the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Xilas I.Fomin S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate56% (25–20) (ahead)48% (22–24)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16661668 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO1614 (ahead)1603
Serve vs returnLast 39 vs 44 matches
1st-serve points won62%68% (ahead)
Return points won45% (ahead)37%
Aces / match0.74.9 (ahead)
ClutchLast 39 vs 44 matches
Break points saved52%54% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast15°C · Partly cloudy
Wind6 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Ioannis Xilas vs Sergey Fomin — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/fomin-vs-xilas-hersonissos-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).