Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson

UMPIRY

Brisbane 3Q16QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov · 11:30

Sam Ryan ZiegannATP #802 · AUS34%

VSSlight edge · Ferguson C.

Chase FergusonATP #672 · AUS66%

Win probabilityWho is more likely to winSlight edge · Ferguson C.

34%66%

Ferguson C. favoured, but within the range where form on the day decides.

ELO1 535

Hard ELO1 539

Last 107–3

Age28

EarningsCareer $28K2026 $6K

ELO1 602

Hard ELO1 593

Last 105–5

Age27

EarningsCareer $35K2026 $6K

Sam Ryan Ziegann faces Chase Ferguson in the Brisbane 3 qualifying round of 16 on hard. They have met once, Sam Ryan Ziegann leading 1–0. Sam Ryan Ziegann brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

Last match: Sam Ryan Ziegann dropped the opening set before beating Ethan Cook 5–7 6–4 6–2.
Last match: Chase Ferguson dropped the opening set before beating Benjamin O'Connell 4–6 6–2 6–2.
Fatigue load: Sam Ryan Ziegann carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

1 meeting · Ryan Ziegann S. leads 1–0

Ryan Ziegann S.October 2026M25 TamworthHard6-3 6-2

Evidence

Ryan Ziegann S.Ferguson C.

FormLast 10 matches each · 2026

Win–loss7–35–5

Season win rate56% (18–14)59% (23–16)

RatingUmpiry ELO

Overall ELO15351602

Hard-court ELO15391593

Serve vs returnLast 21 vs 31 matches

1st-serve points won67%67%

Return points won36%38%

Aces / match5.92.4

ClutchLast 21 vs 31 matches

Break points saved62%59%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

11:30 local

SurfaceHard · fast

Forecast23°C · Mainly clear

Wind4 km/h

Humidity46%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson — Brisbane 3 Qualifying Round of 16", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/ferguson-vs-ziegann-brisbane-3-q16?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).