UMPIRY
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Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Aziz Dougaz — Monastir 1 Round of 32

Monastir 1R32HardMon 9 Nov · 16:00
Bernardo Munk MesaESP21%
VSClear favourite · Dougaz A.
Aziz DougazATP #380 · TUN79%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Dougaz A.
21%79%

Clear edge for Dougaz A. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Munk Mesa B.5.4/10
Clear underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Dougaz A.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form5 of last 10 on hardSupports Dougaz A.
Recent runLost last 4Informative
Surface switchClay → HardSupports Dougaz A.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 516
Hard ELO1 501
Last 103–7
Age20
ELO1 757
Hard ELO1 708
Last 105–5
Age29

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Munk Mesa B.Dougaz A.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss3–75–5 (ahead)
Season win rate42% (11–15)66% (31–16) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO15161757 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15011708 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 22 vs 35 matches
1st-serve points won66%73% (ahead)
Return points won38% (ahead)36%
Aces / match4.86.8 (ahead)
ClutchLast 22 vs 35 matches
Break points saved59%65% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

16:00 local
SurfaceHard
Forecast20°C · Overcast
Wind32 km/h
Humidity69%

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Munk Mesa B.Dougaz A.
14Days since last match21 — fresher
0Matches · 7 days0
0Games · 7 days0
1Matches · 14 days0 — fresher
21Games · 14 days0 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Aziz Dougaz — Monastir 1 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/dougaz-vs-mesa-monastir-1-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).