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Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko — Knoxville Qualifying Round of 32

KnoxvilleQ32QualifyingHardMon 9 Nov
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Dominko S.
30%70%

Clear edge for Dominko S. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 3 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Zahraj P.5.6/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Dominko S.6.6/10
Marginal edgeBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Dominko S.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 72% in USA (32)Supports Dominko S.
Long matches2 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Zahraj P.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 616
Hard ELO1 584
Last 104–6
Age27
Height188 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $178K2026 $28K
ELO1 663
Hard ELO1 587
Last 107–3
Age23
Height203 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $24K2026 $4K

Patrick Zahraj faces Sebastian Dominko in the Knoxville qualifying round of 32 on hard. Sebastian Dominko holds the paper edge — ranked #456.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Zahraj P.Dominko S.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss4–67–3 (ahead)
Season win rate42% (22–30)76% (28–9) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16161663 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO15841587 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 48 vs 30 matches
1st-serve points won67%79% (ahead)
Return points won39% (ahead)38%
Aces / match3.79.5 (ahead)
ClutchLast 48 vs 30 matches
Break points saved63%66% (ahead)

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind8 km/h
Humidity41%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Zahraj P.Dominko S.
7Days since last match8 — fresher
1Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
3Games · 7 days0 — fresher
3 — fresherMatches · 14 days6
55 — fresherGames · 14 days158
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko — Knoxville Qualifying Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/dominko-vs-zahraj-knoxville-q32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).