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Jake Delaney vs Juncheng Shang — Brisbane 3 Round of 32

Brisbane 3R32HardMon 9 Nov
Jake DelaneyATP #350 · AUS28%
VSClear favourite · Shang J.
Juncheng Shang(8)ATP #250 · CHN72%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Shang J.
28%72%

Clear edge for Shang J. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 4 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Delaney J.4.8/10
Heavy underdog
Shang J.6.8/10
Slight advantage
Why
Surface+610 Hard Elo edgeSupports Shang J.
Overall ratingOverall Elo 1746Supports Shang J.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
Long matches4 three-setters in 14 daysSupports Shang J.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 652
Hard ELO1 630
Last 106–4
Age29
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $153K2026 $28K
ELO1 885
Hard ELO1 730
Last 103–7
Age21
Height180 cm
PlaysLeft
EarningsCareer $2.6M2026 $325K

Jake Delaney faces Juncheng Shang in the Brisbane 3 round of 32 on hard. Juncheng Shang is the paper favourite — ranked #250, a roughly 610-point hard Elo advantage — but Jake Delaney arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on hard to Juncheng Shang's 3 of 10.

Key context

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Delaney J.Shang J.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss6–4 (ahead)3–7
Season win rate55% (32–26) (ahead)35% (6–11)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO16521885 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO16301730 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 45 vs 17 matches
1st-serve points won74% (ahead)68%
Return points won33%33%
Aces / match8.4 (ahead)4.2
ClutchLast 45 vs 17 matches
Break points saved69% (ahead)62%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast22°C · Clear
Wind4 km/h
Humidity49%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Delaney J.Shang J.
3Days since last match13 — fresher
3Matches · 7 days0 — fresher
81Games · 7 days0 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days1 — fresher
159Games · 14 days19 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Jake Delaney vs Juncheng Shang — Brisbane 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/delaney-vs-shang-brisbane-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).