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Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32

Hersonissos 3R32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Pavlos TsitsipasGRE18%
VSStrong favourite · Cretu C.
Cezar CretuATP #269 · ROU82%
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winStrong favourite · Cretu C.
18%82%

Clear edge for Cretu C. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 6 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Tsitsipas P.4.6/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Cretu C.4.5/10
Heavy underdogBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form4 of last 10 on hardSupports Cretu C.
Recent runLost last 3Informative
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
This eventDidn't play here last yearBoth players
ELO1 498
Hard ELO1 464
Last 105–5
Age21
Height196 cm
PlaysRight
ELO1 753
Hard ELO1 584
Last 107–3
Age25
Height188 cm
PlaysRight

Pavlos Tsitsipas faces Cezar Cretu in the Hersonissos 3 round of 32 on hard. Cezar Cretu brings the better recent hard form (7 of 10).

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Cezar Cretu carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Pavlos Tsitsipas 5 of 10, Cezar Cretu 7 of 10 on hard recently — Cezar Cretu the sharper of late.

Common opponents

0 shared · last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months. Surface form and ELO carry more weight here.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Tsitsipas P.Cretu C.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss5–57–3 (ahead)
Season win rate50% (20–20)63% (34–20) (ahead)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO14981753 (ahead)
Hard-court ELO14641584 (ahead)
Serve vs returnLast 29 vs 48 matches
1st-serve points won70% (ahead)64%
Return points won36%45% (ahead)
Aces / match4.4 (ahead)1.8
ClutchLast 29 vs 48 matches
Break points saved62% (ahead)52%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · slow
Forecast15°C · Partly cloudy
Wind6 km/h
Humidity69%

Court pace slow: low bounce, long rallies.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu — Hersonissos 3 Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/cretu-vs-tsitsipas-hersonissos-3-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).