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Liam Draxl vs Duncan Chan — Knoxville Round of 32

KnoxvilleR32HardMon 9 Nov · 10:00
Win probabilityWho is more likely to winClear favourite · Draxl L.
78%22%

Clear edge for Draxl L. across form, surface and matchup. Upsets at this level happen in about 1 in 5 such matches.

Umpiry ScoreMatchup strength, 0–10 · not a probability
Draxl L.6.2/10
Even matchBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Chan D.5.7/10
Slight disadvantageBased on 5/6 signal groups5/6
Why
Surface form7 of last 10 on hardSupports Draxl L.
Recent runLost last 2Informative
CountryWon 66% in USA (117)Informative
Long matches3 three-setters in 14 daysAgainst the prediction · Chan D.
Head-to-headNo prior meetingsBoth players
ELO1 785
Hard ELO1 702
Last 107–3
Age24
Height185 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $718K2026 $267K
ELO1 572
Hard ELO1 553
Last 104–6
Age21
Height183 cm
PlaysRight
EarningsCareer $94K2026 $34K

Liam Draxl faces Duncan Chan in the Knoxville round of 32 on hard. Liam Draxl holds the paper edge — ranked #168.

Key context

Common opponents

1 shared · last 12 months

Draxl L. and Chan D. faced 1 of the same opponent in the last 12 months. Draxl L. went 1–0 (100%) against them, Chan D. 1–0 (100%).

1–0100%Draxl L. · better vs 0Record vs common opponents1–0100%Chan D. · better vs 0
Vs common opponents · derived from scorelines
2–0Sets2–1
13–9Games15–14
0–0Deciding sets1–0

Only 1 common opponent — too few for any conclusion. Shown without assessment.

Head-to-head

They have not met before.

Evidence

Draxl L.Chan D.
FormLast 10 matches each · 2026
Win–loss7–3 (ahead)4–6
Season win rate62% (43–26) (ahead)47% (8–9)
RatingUmpiry ELO
Overall ELO1785 (ahead)1572
Hard-court ELO1702 (ahead)1553
Serve vs returnLast 61 vs 16 matches
1st-serve points won69% (ahead)67%
Return points won40%40%
Aces / match4.9 (ahead)3.8
ClutchLast 61 vs 16 matches
Break points saved57% (ahead)55%

Draw

Odds

Conditions

10:00 local
SurfaceHard · fast
Forecast12°C · Clear
Wind1 km/h
Humidity63%

Court pace fast: big serves, short points.

Freshness

Last 7 & 14 days
Draxl L.Chan D.
4Days since last match7 — fresher
2Matches · 7 days1 — fresher
43Games · 7 days20 — fresher
6Matches · 14 days2 — fresher
138Games · 14 days45 — fresher
Green marks the fresher player.

Cite this

Umpiry, "Liam Draxl vs Duncan Chan — Knoxville Round of 32", https://umpiry.com/match/2026-11-09/chan-vs-draxl-knoxville-r32?utm_source=cite (as of 9 November 2026).